September 2025 – Week 1 from September 1st

This is my personal view on how I exect the market to develop early week. Not financial advices. It’s only a way for me to journal my analysis and predictions.

Long Term Perspective

Interest rate

American Central Bank	United States	4.50 %	4.75 %	12-18-2024
British Central Bank	United Kingdom	4.25 %	4.50 %	05-08-2025
European Central Bank	Europe	2.15 %	2.40 %	06-05-2025
Japanese Central Bank	Japan	0.50 %	0.25

Rates did not change since July

DXY tendance

I still see DXY bearish bt ca not ignore a potential run higher to start september in a OHLC scenario.

Week 1 Form September 1st

Weekly Outlook

Economic calendar

Heavy week, we gonna have some movement.

Technical analysis

DXY – Not really good PA. bearish tone nonetheless. ⇒ currency might go UP

ZW – Weekly prited a swig Low . I expect a bullish C4 aka a bullish week.

GC – Bullish until ATH

SI – even more bullish thant GC IMO

NQ & ES – Don’t like the PA on them. Why should i lose time on this ???? price just shifted bearish on daily but nothing really strong so i can’t foget HHTF trnd is so strong. hat gives me Low probability and confindence

I’ll focus on these ones early week. Others PA did not get my eyes.

/3 How is the week going ?

Monday September1st :

It’s a bank holiday. I looked at chart around NY pre-market time and decided price action did not wort my time. lol. Very messy and no obvious setup. => day skipped

Tuesday September 2nd:

On ZW, GC and SI my biais to the upside was correct. I managed to have a good trade on ZW.

Analysis on GC and SI. PA was good. I decided to trade ZW instead because I notice that we probably in a quarterly shift. Als Price action on HTF Monthly ad Daily align with seasonality higher until mid-October.

Wednesday September 3rd

When I see all these marks ad lines on the chart it’s sign that i was to force my will on the market. Not a good day at business today. We rest and reset. Hopefull good risk management keeps my accounts safe. Tomorow is another day.